据报道，标普全球移动专家预测，明年全球纯电动汽车的销量将达到1，510万辆，同比增长30%，在全球汽车销量中所占的份额将达到16.7%。尽管今年最终的全球纯电动汽车销量数据尚未公布，但据估计，今年全球纯电动汽车的销量将达到1，160万辆，市场份额将达到13.2%。

图片来源：标普全球移动出行

　　同时，研究称，在不同地区，明年电动汽车销量的增长速度将有很大差异，并将受到许多因素的影响，包括政府出台的电动汽车政策、电动汽车关税和激励措施，以及充电基础设施是否完善。

　　在印度市场，明年电动汽车销量预计仅占印度汽车总销量的7.5%，但增长速度预计将十分迅猛，同比增幅预计将高达117%。

　　在美国市场，明年电动汽车销量预计将同比增长36%，占美国汽车总销量的11.2%。而这在很大程度上将取决于，美国下一任总统唐纳德·特朗普和他的团队是否取消电动汽车税收抵免政策，以及是否对美国以外生产的汽车征收关税。

　　在全球最大的汽车市场中国，明年电动汽车销量预计将占据中国汽车市场近30%的份额，同比增长20%；同时，明年中国的电动汽车销量将首次超过内燃机汽车，并提前达成中国政府为2035年所设定的目标，即到2035年，在中国市场，电动汽车占新车销量的50%。对此，分析师声称“中国电动汽车销量增长势不可挡”，但车型供过于求、激烈竞争和价格战将导致许多中国本土品牌的消亡。

　　此外，随着中国消费者转向本土品牌，几年前曾主导中国市场的欧洲、日本和美国汽车制造商，已面临销量急剧下滑的局面。在中国市场，2020年，外国汽车占新车总销量的64%，而到2024年，这一比例已大幅下跌至37%。

　　据悉，在德国市场，电动汽车需求也因德国政府取消电动汽车补贴而受到影响，今年电动汽车销量惨淡。不过，研究预计，西欧和中欧的电动汽车销量将同比增长43%，市场份额将超过20%，尽管法国和西班牙政府或将在2025年削减电动汽车补贴。

The global sales of pure electric vehicles are expected to increase by 30% year-on-year in 2025

According to reports, S&P Global Mobility experts predict that global sales of pure electric vehicles will reach 15.1 million units next year, representing a year-on-year increase of 30%, and will account for 16.7% of global car sales. Although the final global sales data for pure electric vehicles this year has not yet been released, it is estimated that global sales of pure electric vehicles will reach 11.6 million units this year, with a market share of 13.2%.


Meanwhile, the study said that the growth rate of electric vehicle sales in different regions will vary greatly next year, and will be influenced by many factors, including government policies on electric vehicles, tariffs and incentives for electric vehicles, and the availability of charging infrastructure.

In the Indian market, electric vehicle sales are expected to account for only 7.5% of total vehicle sales next year, but the growth rate is expected to be rapid, with a year-on-year increase of up to 117%.

In the US market, electric vehicle sales are expected to increase by 36% year-on-year next year, accounting for 11.2% of total US car sales. This will largely depend on whether Donald Trump, the next US president, and his team will cancel the electric vehicle tax credit policy and impose tariffs on cars produced outside the US.

In China, the world's largest automobile market, electric vehicle sales are expected to account for nearly 30% of the Chinese automobile market next year, representing a year-on-year increase of 20%. Meanwhile, electric vehicle sales in China will exceed those of internal combustion engine vehicles for the first time next year, and will achieve the target set by the Chinese government for 2035 ahead of schedule, which is that electric vehicles will account for 50% of new vehicle sales in the Chinese market by 2035. In response, analysts claim that "the growth of electric vehicle sales in China is unstoppable", but oversupply of vehicle models, fierce competition, and price wars will lead to the demise of many local Chinese brands.

In addition, European, Japanese and American carmakers that dominated the Chinese market a few years ago have faced a sharp decline in sales as Chinese consumers have turned to local brands. In the Chinese market, foreign cars accounted for 64% of total new car sales in 2020, but by 2024, this proportion had fallen sharply to 37%.

It is reported that in the German market, the demand for electric vehicles has also been affected by the German government's cancellation of subsidies for electric vehicles, resulting in a dismal sales performance this year. However, research predicts that the sales volume of electric vehicles in Western and Central Europe will increase by 43% year-on-year, and their market share will exceed 20%, despite the possible reduction of electric vehicle subsidies by the French and Spanish governments in 2025.